ALP 13.3%
Incumbent MP
Matt Keogh, since 2016.
Geography
South of Perth. Burt covers parts of Armadale and Gosnells council areas and a small part of the Serpentine-Jarrahdale council area, Burt includes the suburbs of Armadale, Darling Downs, Gosnells, Huntingdale, Kenwick, Oakford, Thornlie and Westfield.
Redistribution
Burt shifted south, taking in Darling Downs and Oakford from Canning, losing Orange Grove and part of Kelmscott to the new seat of Bullwinkel, and also lost Beckenham and Langford to Swan. These changes cut the Labor margin from 15.2% to 13.3%.
History
Burt was first created in 2016, primarily out of parts of Canning. That seat had been a marginal seat, leaning towards the Liberal Party.
Labor’s Matt Keogh lost the 2015 Canning by-election to Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie. He then went on to win Burt at the 2016 election. Keogh was re-elected in 2019 and 2022.
Assessment
Labor remains the favourite in Burt, even if there’s a swing to the Liberal Party.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Matt Keogh | Labor | 47,268 | 51.6 | +10.5 | 49.8 |
| David Goode | Liberal | 21,009 | 22.9 | -9.5 | 24.8 |
| Daniel Garlett | Greens | 9,004 | 9.8 | +0.3 | 9.5 |
| Travis Carter | One Nation | 4,436 | 4.8 | -1.3 | 4.9 |
| Warnar Spyker | Australian Christians | 3,428 | 3.7 | +0.1 | 3.8 |
| Stephen Phelan | Western Australia Party | 2,390 | 2.6 | +1.4 | 2.6 |
| Joshua McCurry | United Australia | 2,274 | 2.5 | +0.2 | 2.5 |
| Michele Castle | Federation Party | 1,741 | 1.9 | +1.9 | 1.8 |
| Others | 0.4 | ||||
| Informal | 5,675 | 5.8 | -0.8 |
2022 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Matt Keogh | Labor | 59,704 | 65.2 | +9.7 | 63.3 |
| David Goode | Liberal | 31,846 | 34.8 | -9.7 | 36.7 |
Booths have been divided into four parts: east, north, south and west.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 50.2% in the south to 66.8% in the east.
| Voter group | GRN prim | ALP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 10.3 | 66.2 | 16,856 | 19.1 |
| East | 10.9 | 66.8 | 10,388 | 11.8 |
| West | 9.5 | 64.4 | 9,126 | 10.3 |
| South | 10.0 | 50.2 | 3,559 | 4.0 |
| Pre-poll | 8.2 | 62.1 | 30,729 | 34.8 |
| Other votes | 10.2 | 62.7 | 17,653 | 20.0 |
Election results in Burt at the 2022 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.
Is this the last seat left on the Tally Room guide with no comments?
Uh, comments. Nice safe Labor seat built mostly from rock solid Armadale line suburbs, plus a bit of swingy new suburbia around Piara Waters / Harrisdale and Byford. Matt Keogh gets wheeled out occasionally when the West wants a “We hate the Greens and so should you!” opinion piece (as does Patrick Gorman); apart from that he’s pretty low-profile.
*yawns*
You’re right it was the last one!
Brand and Lyne only had one comment each. Perhaps others.
Crazy to think this was created as a notional Liberal seat. Will the Liberals ever win here? Seems so hard to imagine.
2013 was a low point for Labor, especially in WA (42-58 from memory?). Add in a sophomore swing for Ken Wyatt and whatever personal vote Don Randall had, and it kiiinda makes sense. If you squint.
I remember applying federal figures to state seats back when Armadale was still in Canning, and it would’ve been narrowly Liberal. One of the most bulletproof Labor seats in WA ever turning blue in any universe… now THAT is weird.
Labor at one of its lowest ebbs in 2013 vs a high point in 2022. Plus Liberals have probably been ‘playing defence’ in WA in 2019 and 2022 and not caring about putting much effort into Labor-held seats (apart from maybe Cowan).
Burt is probly g9nna get more solidly Labor and can’t see I shifting. The liberals hopes lie north of the Swan in seats like cowan Pearce hasluck and maybe one day Perth. I’d ex0ect a seat like swan to probly stay Labor too.